Duke vs. North Carolina Women's Basketball Predictions - NCAA Tournament

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A Sweet 16 battle features the No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils (28-7) taking the court against the No. 3 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) on Friday at Legacy Arena at BJCC. This NCAA Tournament matchup tips at 2:30 p.m. ET, with the winner moving on to the regional final.

Friday's matchup between the Blue Devils and the Tar Heels features the Blue Devils as 5.5-point favorites. A 121.5-point over/under is set for the game.

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Duke vs. North Carolina Odds and Game Info

  • Game day: Friday, March 28, 2025
  • Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Birmingham, Alabama
  • Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Duke vs. North Carolina Odds and Prediction

  • Spread favorite: Duke (-5.5)
  • Moneyline: Duke (-258), North Carolina (+210)
  • Total: 121.5 points

Pick ATS:Duke (-5.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (121.5)
  • Prediction: Duke 68, North Carolina 61

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Duke vs. North Carolina Comparison

Duke Rank Duke Stat North Carolina Stat North Carolina Rank
52nd 73.8 Points Scored 70.5 85th
29th 57.1 Points Allowed 57.6 36th
24th 16.9 Assists 13.8 130th
135th 14.5 Turnovers 12.5 37th
48th 44.8% Field Goal % 42.5% 112th
92nd 38.9% Field Goal % Allowed 36.3% 15th

Duke Key Players

  • Toby Fournier leads the Blue Devils in scoring, tallying 13.4 points per game to go with 5.2 rebounds and 0.4 assists.
  • Duke's leading rebounder is Jadyn Donovan averaging 6.5 boards per game and its best passer is Taina Mair, averaging 3.8 assists per game.
  • Ashlon Jackson makes more threes per game than any other member of the Blue Devils, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.
  • The Duke steals leader is Oluchi Okananwa, who averages 1.8 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Donovan, who compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.

North Carolina Key Players

  • Alyssa Ustby puts up 9.4 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, and is atop the Tar Heels' rebound and assists leaderboards.
  • North Carolina's Maria Gakdeng scores 11.1 points, 7.7 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, securing the spot of top scorer on the squad.
  • Lexi Donarski is consistent from deep and leads the Tar Heels with 2.4 made threes per game.
  • North Carolina's leader in steals is Indya Nivar with 1.9 per game, and its leader in blocks is Gakdeng with 1.1 per game.

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